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jarrod said:

It'll probably do around 2m, like Crisis Core and Dissidia.

I'm surprised he said Japan's already meeting expectations though.   That was the only market where Peace Walker even stood a chance of doing really well, and it's still failed to cross that million mark (just like everything on PSP than isn't Monster Hunter).

Metal Gear has had a VERY stable sales figure in Japan this generation: aside from the Acid games, they've all sold in about the same neighborhood.