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johnlucas said:

I can't remember every single prediction I made off the top of my head but here's some of them.

1. Wii will surpass XBox 360 sales worldwide within the summer. SUCCESS

2. (stipulation #1) Wii will surpass XBox 360 sales worldwide within the month of July. DEBATEABLE

I still base this conclusion on Nintendo's June 30th quarterly report when they said they sold 9.27 million units AT that end of June. Whether counted as sold to retail or not, world combined figures would put this at or near 1 million enough to edge out the 360. But I won't quibble on this point so much out of respect for VGChartz's work.

3. (stipulation #2) Wii will surpass XBox 360 sales in the American continents within the summer. FAILED

4. (stipulation #3) Wii will surpass XBox 360 sales in the American continents within the month of July. SUPERFAILED

5. (predict league entry) Wii will sell AT THE VERY LEAST 20 million units worldwide by the end of 2007 (December 31st at 11:59:59.9 PM). TO BE SEEN...SHORTLY

6. Metal Gear Solid 4 will NOT go to the Playstation 3. TO BE SEEN

7. Resident Evil 5 will come to the Wii (and maybe exclusively). TO BE SEEN

8. Wii will have sold 60 million by the end of 2008 (December 31st at 11:59:59.9 PM). TO BE SEEN

9. Wii will sell AT THE VERY LEAST 240 million units worldwide within its lifespan. TO BE SEEN

10. (addendeum) Wii may see worldwide sales in the 500 million neighborhood within its lifespan. TO BE SEEN

11. Wii is the Future of Gaming (check my Kotaku/Joystiq posts in 2006). SUCCESS IN PROGRESS [see Vii & Sixaxis controller]

12. Wii will DOMINATE the 7th gen from start to finish to be console leader in all territories (check my history at Kotaku/Joystiq). SUCCESS IN PROGRESS

13. XBox 360 and Playstation 3 will struggle against each other for supremacy with 360 being the aggressor in the fight. SUCCESS

14. Playstation 3 will not survive past the year 2009 (meaning never seeing 2010 at all). TO BE SEEN

15. Wii Fit's opening week sales all territories combined will trump the opening week sales of Halo 3. TO BE SEEN

16. (stipulation) Wii Fit's opening week sales will trump the opening week sales of Halo 3 in Japan alone. ULTRAFAILED

17. Metroid Prime 3 will sell at least 500,000 opening week in Americas. FAILED

18. Super Mario Galaxy will sell 1,000,000 opening week in Japan. FAILED

19. (predict league entry) XBox 360 may come close but will not break the 14 million barrier of worldwide sales by end of 2007. SUPERFAILED

20. (predict league entry) Playstation 3 in best case scenario will just make the 7 million mark of worldwide sales by end of 2007. SUCCESS

21. (predict league entry) DS will see 60 million in sales by end of 2007. SUCCESS

22. (predict league entry) PSP will see 25 million in sales by end of 2007. SUCCESS

23. One of the current competitors (Sony or Microsoft) will drop out of the gaming business before the 8th generation. TO BE SEEN

24. The 7th generation will be extended past the traditional 5 year barrier due to the success of Wii & DS. TO BE SEEN

25. (new one!) Nintendo may top Toyota as #1 Japanese company due to the success of DS & Wii when it's all said and done with. TO BE SEEN

I'm sure there's more but these are the ones I could think of off the top of my head.

John Lucas


 I wouldent count predicitng the PS3 to sell 7 million and the PSP to sell 25 million untill the end of the year a succes If I where you . You should have say at least , and than you could cathegorise it as a success ...

 

My prediction :

 

PS3 : 8 million

360 : 14 million

Wii : 16 million

PSP : 28-30 million

DS : 55-58 million .

 

I was pretty accurate with the PSP and PS3 , but I really underapreciated the DS ... 

 



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