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I still don't think GT5 will break 10m, but that also depends when Polyphony makes GT6, which could take at least half a decade...

If Halo Reach is at least on par quality wise with Halo 3 (preferably even better), I'd be disappointed, if it doesn't manage to sell more than Halo 3 LTD.

So nah I think Halo will win.