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Wii's been out for 4 years and sold close to 500 million software, 63 million of that is from a bundled game, so really 440 million.

The PS2 has been out for 10 years and sold 1.5 billion, in order for the Wii to beat the PS2 it'll have to continue to sell for another 7 years and keep selling at the same exact pase that it sold in it's first 4 years (best years the Wii going to have).

Doesn't look like Wii's going to get anywhere near the PS2, in the end the Wii should be close to a billion.