X360 only 630k more units than PS3 for the whole of 2007

[Lord N]

mrstickball said:


As for the exclusive GTA content: I think it'll matter. When a consumer goes into a store, and does not own a X360/PS3, and asks the clerk what the difference is, and they reply "oh, the Xbox 360 version is going to have extra content, and the PS3 version won't" and see that they could get a Xbox 360 for upto $130 cheaper in the US, or more.......It's going to matter to more people than you think.

Here's the issue of lineups, and feel free to correct me if I'm wrong:

The Playstation 3 has litterally no strong AAA exclusives until Metal Gear Solid 4 releases. No date has been solidified. After that, you have Killzone 2, Gran Turismo 5, and Killzone 2 that are planned in 08, but not confirmed.

The Xbox 360 has Banjo Kazooie 3, Alan Wake, Too Human, Fable 2, and a few other minor games. All are slated this year. However, the AAA exclusives such as Too Human will probably release earlier than MGS4.

So we know when the X360 lineup will start moving hardware, but not so much for the PS3. The PS3 will definately sell better this year than last, I don't think anyone can, or will argue that. But the argument I see is if it's going to sell neck-and-neck with the X360 for the whole of next year. The PS3 had a pricedrop 1 month ago vs. the X360 getting a pricedrop in August. Effectively, MS releasing the X360 Arcade Pack made the same difference on consumer purchasing as the $100 PS3 price cut.

The average gamer isn't going to care about the extra content. The average gamer doesn't even care about Xbox Live to begin with. As far as Banjo Kazooie 3, Alan Wake, Too Human, Fable 2, etc are concerned, none of them are proven system movers, and some of them are brand new IP's, so saying that they will boost hardware makes about as much sense as people saying the same thing about Lair, Heavenly Sword, and Warhawk in regards to the PS3. You also have to take into account that the 360 will still be above mass market price point for most of next year. It's really not even entirely accurate to call GTAIV a system mover, because the only reason it did so well last gen is because GTA3 and GTA: VC were released on a console that was already selling like crazy, so it would be more accurate to call the PS2 a GTA-mover and not the other way around.