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Most of the folks that will buy the Motion controls will be

A: existing userbase so they dont have to buy a Wii

B:Wii owners that want to upgrade to HD

Nintendo Will create a Hardcore must have titls for Group A

Nintendo already has a Wii incide of B's household and is creating hardcore Wii only titles for them to buy on the wii.

And Wii will sell on its low cost high value gameplay With the help of must own Titles no true hardcore gamer could pass on to keep its sell's going from now on. Post Move/Natal.  In othere words Nintendo will do what it dos best Good software to keep it going on the hardware chartz.

 

Looks like Nintendo knows exacly what to do. If that fails Patcher gets his Wii 3DHD.

 

I dont see Wii failing anytime soon though. Im sure they plan to support it until 2018. Thats my gess. They have a plan to have a Wii HD 3D  to go alongside with the Wii. When we see that? depends on a few things.

 

A: If Nintendo Has a Wii in 100% of its targuet audience house (in other words if they sell a wii to almost everyone it saw as a potential buyer)  Results in Wii 3D HD launch

B:Wii loses all intrests no one buys hardware for a sustained time. Results in Wii 3D HD launch

 

I dont think any of that will  happen untill  the end of 2012 mabe 2013 even. But No one Knows for sure.

But even if They launch Wii 3DHD they will still support Wii with good software for a long time.

 

Cheers!