Does anyone think PS3 can realistically get to second place?

[Michael-5]

Which statement do you want a reference for? I made many statements.

COD has definatly contributed to console sales in at least North America in the same way PES, and FIFA sales boast console sales in Europe and Asia.  Especially Call of Duty 2, that example alone (old as it may be), completly falsifies your statement. Call of Duty is largly popular in North America, where the 360 dominate the PS3 1.75 to 1. Of course it's going to boast 360 sales.

Halo: Reach is going to be the 4th Halo on the 360, but also the biggest, and if you count Halo Wars as a Halo game, even thought it's only a FPS, you have to count GT5 Prologue because that's all Sony gamers have had to live on while waiting on GT5.

As for which brand is bigger, that's arguable. Gran Turismo has sold most of it's games over the 10 million sales mark, however, it sold over 10 million games on system with over 100 million units. PS3 is not selling anywhere nearly as well as PS1 and PS2 did, what makes you think it will sell that spectacularly? Halo on the other hand has sold, 5 and 8 million units on a system with only 24 million sales, and 11 million units on a system with 40 million sales. In my opinion, Halo: Reach will sell 11-15 million units in the long run, more then any other Halo game because this Halo will be sold onto a console with more sales then ever before. Under the same logic, I beleive GT5 will sell 6-8 milion units total, everyone that bought Prologue, some new PS3 owners, and the few people who didn't buy GT5: Prologue in anticipation of GT5.

And GT:5 Prologue is no a DEMO, it's more like a large scale BETA.

As for Michael Patchner being wrong 75% of the time, can you veryfy this reference? To my accounts his predictions are very accurate, otherwise webush would have fired him. I only know about his Wii HD prediction being wrong, and he underpredicted Boarderlands.