Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

[DarkNight_DS]

RolStoppable said:
Yes, the Wii will reach 50 % marketshare by the end of 2008. Assuming the HD consoles sell 9m respectively 10m consoles (an improvement for both over 2007) in 2008:

360: 25m
PS3: 18m

The Wii would have to sell about 25m units in 2008 to reach 50 % which is entirely possible. The games for the Wii are there, production should be ramped up by mid 2008. Yes, it's possible and probable.

 As we saw this year, the Wii sells throughout the year at a higher clip then the 360 and PS3 combined.  It is more likely that Nintendo hits the 50% earlier in the year then later next year as the HD consoles are very Christmas and price drop heavy sales wise.  Nintendo should be able to hold around 70% of the market until Christmas time.  If the Wii doesn't hit 50% market share by October, it won't happen until at least February or March of 09.  Hence the reason I believe it will happen much sooner in August at the earliest and September 31st at the latest.