I don't think Natal will be huge until it has alot of break out hits. Early on all the break out hits on Wii were from Nintendo, but nonetheless Wii was only doing about what X360 is doing now in the USA. Beyond that, I think we're getting three price cuts in 2010, and X360 is already trending downwards, so I think Natal steadies demand first, and then any elevation comes in the following fiscal year. I'll probably change my mind at E3 but I don't think the market will support three motion systems when only 50-60% of people seem to prefer motion over traditional controls (judging this by Wii + music games success on PS3/X360 essentially).
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
