Nintendo forecasts

[Mummelmann]

Two threads on the same topic? Anyway, I don't think everyone should be so quick to dismiss the 18 million forecast, the vast majority of us grossly overshot our 2009 Wii predictions (I missed by four million and I was on the conservative side) and Nintendo adjusted the original forecast down quite a bit and managed to surpass it only slightly (2.5%) in the end.
It was also guaranteed to sell a bare minimum of 45 million lt by 2008 and surely 75 million or at the very least 70 million by the end of 2009, not to mention how it was going to skyrocket instantly once the price dropped (nothing happened until NSMBWii, in fact; it was down yoy a few weeks following the price cut).
All this has been said before, perhaps Nintendo are conservative in their projections sometimes, but the same was said for the original fiscal 2009 projection before it was adjusted down a lot (and, again, barely met) and the DS performed 10% beneath projection.
Hardly conservative all in all.

I'll happily eat crow if it does blow past this projection but I just don't think it will and my predictions for this year will be even better than last year. It'll be fun to see at any rate.