Which third party company is simply going to miss the Wii boat?

[bdbdbd]

Cryoakira said:
I think that, saved Capcom (maybe), every third party publishers will miss the Wii boat.

And to me, that's not a matter of efforts or creativity.

Even if some games aren't that good, third parties actually put some decent titles on the table (Dewy, Zak & Wiki, Rayman, Table Tennis, Mercury Meltdonw, Trauma Center, Sonic...). On any console, they would do decent sales, and on a console as strong as the Wii, you would even expect good sales.
But they all kind of bomb, one after another.
On the one hand probably because casual are just happy with Wiisport, Wiiplay, and soon WiiFit.
On the other hand because gamers are into Nintendo's hits, just like with the N64 and the GC.

So the question is : once PS2 (and its easy port to the Wii) is gone, how many studios are going to take the risk to develop on the Wii ?

As for the bolded parts... First, Wiis strenght is in it's lineups variety, not that all the games are in one or two genres which sell and the rest don't. The games you mentioned, are all basically in different genres. You can't say that Trauma Center, Rayman RR and Sonic wouldn't have sold good. Besides, look at Wiis top selling games, if we count in the individually sold games, you can see that Wii owners like adventure games, party games, shooters, platformers etc... And when you look at for example 360:s best selling games, you can see that 360 owners like shooters, racing games and EA:s sports games. Considering the quality of Nintendo published games, it's no wonder they sell. N64 and GC eventually didn't have other quality games than Nintendos 1st party, so that makes it pretty bad example. But, what Nintendo does with its 1st party games, is create variety to Wiis userbase. Look at Nintendos games released this year, or from the launch, how many share a genre? Not many. When developers look at the best selling games, they see how many different type of games have sold on Wii. Meaning that when SMG got released, and it sold good, Nintendo created a userbase for 3D platformers. Or when Zelda TP had its release Nintendo created a userbase for adventure games etc. So when you expect 3rd party games to sell on Wii just like they do on 360, you have to compare the variety of the best selling games with 360. Even that there are overlap (meaning that one gamer buys games from different genres), you can clearly see that there is a big diffence.