Well, in Japan FFX launched with around 2 million copies when the PS2 had only a 5 million install base. So, as FFXIII is the first on a new console as FFX was, I dont see why 40-50% attatchment rate is out of the question. If we see an early 2009 release, with potentially 3 million PS3s in japan thats 1.2-1.5 million.
I dont think it'll achieve halo 3, unless bundles appear world wide, but it wont be far off.
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