Here's the thing that cracks me up about all these forcasts and console comparisons. For the past 20 years that I've been a gamer, these are the things that I've noticed:
1) The winner of each console generation so far has typically been the least powerful of the available systems.
2) The winner of each console generation has traditionally been the least expensive system.
3) Exlusivity has played a major part in each console victory, though exlusivity is happenening less and less these days. Soon, for the most part, the only exlusive titles will be first and second party.
Now, Nintendo having the decades of experience in the video game industry, has positioned themselves to take the crown here in a big way. Does that mean it will happen? As the Magic 8 Ball would say, "Signs point to yes". However, this generation (like most) is highly volatile and no one can say for sure what the end result will be. It would appear though, that most of these analysts and supposed experts are ignoring history.
To me, the most interesting battle is that between the Xbox 360 and the PS3. With both focusing on high performance and core gamers, they stand on mostly level ground. Price will end up being the major deciding factor in my opinion, with exclusive titles being the clincher. To that end I expect the Xbox to win by a fair margin, likely less than 10 million units difference world wide. The Wii leading the pack is a forgone conclusion as far as I'm concerned, but by how much I won't hazard a guess at just yet. This will truly be an interesting generation to watch for years to come.
I know you believe you understand what you think I said but I don't think you realize that what you heard is not what I meant.
