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Nintendo -

If they keep the "Wii" name, they will do VERY well.
They will need some big new innovation, as 3rd party support will likely still be sticking with PS and Xbox...

Xbox -

I think the best they can do is 2nd place due to a lack of Japan sales and a lack of "Others" sales.
They will have great 3rd party support just like this gen.

PlayStation -

If they launch at a reasonable price, they will have a good shot at 1st place.
Still the biggest name in gaming.


Overall, i think it will be a close fight between "PS4" and "Super Wii". "Nextbox" will sell very well, but wont be able to keep up with Sony/Ninty basicly because of Japan/"Others", and 1st party.