| TheSource said: I don't think it is going to launch worldwide in 2010, just in Japan...and so DS still has an 8-10m Christmas quarter in 2010. I think one of the reasons this is being announced before E3 is that Nintendo would have had to include 3DS in their fiscal year projections for March 2011 - and those projections are coming May 6 - about six weeks before E3. DS should get to 175m or so. It will be around 130m shipped through March 2010. Even if it declined by 50% in the next fiscal year, it would be at 145m. Could keep declining by half in each subsequent fiscal year, and reach 152.5m, then 156m, 158m, 159m etc. So for me ~160m is the absolute low point for DS. Odds are they'll lower the price of DS with the 3DS or PSP2 launch, and that should prevent such a rapid decline, as DS has never really had a price cut anywhere - and yet its still at 125m+ Also, PS2 shipments should finish at about 145-150m worldwide, based on where it is and how its declining. |
My thoguhts are simialr, 145M by Dec 2010 looks likely, about 130M has been shipped now as we speak but I expect a few more thousands towards the end of this month. Dropping the price of DS near Christmas will eb a good idea hence peopel getting hyped about the 3DS. Still even after 3DS is released DS should continue to sell for another year or 2.
Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,
mario maker
new 3ds
yoshi woolly world
zelda U
majora's mask 3d







