Each Console's best year

[TheSource]

I have 360 sales like this..

6-8 million in sales during it's good years.

2006-2012 for the above years (not in that order)..

Then the other 10 million comes from 2005,2013-2014.  I think in 2013-2014 360 could have big US sales as a value proposition.  If Microsoft really does want to make money in gaming, then I can see them supporting 360 much longer than Xbox to offset the cost of the next Xbox.  To me it depends on how quickly 360 reaches 20 million sold in the USA, if it does so before Christmas 09', it is going to get at least software support for at least another 30 months because of the userbase.  If not, I can see it stopping at around 45-50 million sold worldwide.  But I really think it can get to 30 million in the USA if it hits 20 million by X-mas 09', because that would leave at least 2 and upto 4 more decent/big holiday seasons in the USA.

Side by side I have it like:

Year	Xbox360	Wii	PS3
2005	0.7
2006	8.5	3.19	1.25
2007	15.5	17	8.75
2008	23.5	37	21
2009	31	55	36
2010	38	67	47.5
2011	45	74	56
2012	51	77	62
2013	56.5	79	67
2014	60	80	70
	*	*	*
	* in millions

If all three consoles just stopped selling in 2012, the market would be at 190 million.  I think another 20 million consoles will be sold after that, with most going to 360 and PS3 which are - by then - mass market.  It is certaintly possible that if one console is dominant, the other two will stop manufacturing, so only 10 million or so will be sold from 2012-2014.  Basically, I have Wii peaking in marketshare in 2008-2010, 360's peak in 2005-2007, and PS3's peak marketshare 2011-2014.  The numbers imply PS3 moving into 2nd place in mid 2009 when PS3 outselling 360 in Europe & Japan offsets the 360 sales in the USA.  Wii passes 360 in early November of this year.  The above is what I see as the most likely scenario, but I have one alternative as well, in which Wii brings in 20 million+ new gamers.  This assumes 205 million sold by 2012, and then cheapskates, the people buying PS2 now upgrade...

Year	Xbox 360	Wii	PS3
2005	0.7
2006	8.5	3.19	1.25
2007	14	20	8
2008	22	40	20
2009	29	62	33
2010	37	80	43
2011	44	93	50
2012	50	100	55
2013	53	104	58
2014	55	105	59