Super Mario Galaxy Vs. Halo 3 Sales

[Final-Fan]

damkira said:

mrstickball said:
I hate to say it, but the argument "the Wii has a much higher install base for units" argument doesn't really work.

Merely because SMG is a very Nintendo-Oriented game. It won't sell to the droves that are typically buying the Wii (they buy it for the more casual fare).

Zelda: Twilight Princess has done "mediocre" considering the absolutely insane install base. If Zelda: TP can only manage ~4m units on the Wii, why should SMG sell 2.5x or more, higher?

 I don't see why you would say this about Zelda: TP. The game has an attach rate of nearly 25%, which is rare for any game these days (I see Halo 3's is higher) but TP sales were cannibalized by its GameCube counterpart. If you add the two together, TP is the third highest-selling game in the Zelda series.. with over 5 million sold altogether and still moving ~25k a week over a year after its release, I'd say the sales for Zelda TP are a bit better than mediocre.

I agree. I also agree with others who pointed out that Zelda, while highly prestigious, is much less "mainstream" than Mario. You ought to know that Mario is about as world-famous as Mickey Mouse. I think that might influence its popularity with casual gamers.

Also -- and I can't believe I didn't see this earlier almost as much as I can't believe you said it -- you seem to be confusing present install base with future install base! Even Halo 3 sales, incredibly front-loaded game that it is, will benefit from millions of future 360 buyers. The Wii will have at least three or four times as many millions of future buyers, and Galaxy is showing signs of having great legs. How do you figure these two facts will not combine to overcome Halo 3's sales?