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Look at my predictions

No, I really think the Wii is going to sell at least 20m. I also agree on the assumption that Nintendo is only able to release Metroid, MH3, SMG2 and SIn and Punishment in the first half because they have something in store for the sedond half. Therefore, I am optimistic by saying 25m for the year.

edit: I forgot about Xenoblade, The Last Story, and DQX, of which we might one see for xmas. If not, we have 3 top titles for 2011.