Although the Wii lineup has a very strong lineup coming this year, most of those games aren't exactly console movers, with the exception of maybe Galaxy 2. We still don't even know if Zelda Wii is coming this year. So I don't think this year will be better than 2008 but it may fall somewhere between 08 and 09. However, that doesn't mean necessarily that the Wii has peaked yet. All Nintendo needs is another massive Wii Fit like hit and they will be off and running again.
I think the Vitality Sensor and its flagship game will be a major factor into whether the Wii has peaked, as well as making more and better Motion Plus games. If the VT is a success, Wii's peak year could be 2010 or even 2011. But if it doesn't take off, 2008 just may be the highest sales Wii will see. Either way though, the console will have legs, just like many of its games, and decline slowly.
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