Analyst predicts 127m PS3 sales

[Gilgamesh]

kowenicki said:

Gilgamesh said:

I suppose it can happen, it's not impossible.

2006: 1.2 million

2007: 7.6 million

2008: 9.6 million

2009: 12.7 million

2010: 15 million

2011: 17 million

2012: 15 million

2013: 12 million

2014: 10 million

2015: 8 million

2016: 5 million

Total: 113 million, seems somewhat reasonable, we'll likely see the PS3 at $199 or less in 2011. Along with big exclusives and constant updates, new features, and peripherals it should keep selling at a good constant pace.

As for the Wii, the only reason it'd stop selling at 103 million, is either a new console (HD) in order to try to steal some 3rd party devs from X360 and PS3. Or it'll actually slow down and sell worst and worst from now on, by the looks of it the Wii may have already peaked.

Hang on.... 45 million from now until Dec 2012 is reasonable? 

For a start the PS3 will not do 15m this year.  It will track around 30% up YOY until September and will then be down.... 

 

How do you know that?

Last year at this time no one knew a Slim or a price cut was coming. And even if nothing new comes this fall we know that GT5 will be releasing around then and that's a big hardware boosters.