saicho said:
Gilgamesh said:
I suppose it can happen, it's not impossible.
2006: 1.2 million
2007: 7.6 million
2008: 9.6 million
2009: 12.7 million
2010: 15 million
2011: 17 million
2012: 15 million
2013: 12 million
2014: 10 million
2015: 8 million
2016: 5 million
Total: 113 million, seems somewhat reasonable, we'll likely see the PS3 at $199 or less in 2011. Along with big exclusives and constant updates, new features, and peripherals it should keep selling at a good constant pace.
As for the Wii, the only reason it'd stop selling at 103 million, is either a new console (HD) in order to try to steal some 3rd party devs from X360 and PS3. Or it'll actually slow down and sell worst and worst from now on, by the looks of it the Wii may have already peaked.
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Based on what you prjected, PS3 needs an extra 2 mil per year in order to meet the projection from SACHD. Highly unlikely...
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I'm just saying IMO that's the best case senario for the PS3 which looks somewhat reasonable. It's off by 14 million from SACHD prediction so it's not as bad as everyone here is making out to be.
@Demotruk, What are you talking about a $299 PS3 didn't turn things around? The PS3 is up by quite a bit from last years numbers it went from selling 100K a week on average to 200K a week, in fact I think the PS3 is the only console up YOY. It turned things around big time, and that's not even the big price point. Usually 70% of a consoles sales happens when it's priced at $199 or less.
