Lingyis on 06 December 2007
| mrstickball said: Actually, my "red' status comes from being the guy that runs the prediction league....Not because I was known as some ultra-well balanced poster that attained Godhood and being able to randomly ban people. Lingsys - I don't understand what's wrong with calling someone on the carpet for an insane prediction, then telling him to eat his crow when it's due. I respect some of JL's predictions...Which is why I am calling him out on this. Why should you respect someone's 1-2 great opinions on sales, and not judge the ones that are insane. Right now, he's calling for Nintendo to move 40 million Wii's next year alone. I'll gladly post a huge rebuttal to it soon. But don't you understand that the majority of his predictions (3.5m Wii Fit debut in Japan, 60m Wii's by EOY 2008, 240m LTD Wii before succuessor) are just so ungodly wrong, that someone has to say he's wrong. But I'll post in a bit in his thread, explaining every single reason he's wrong. I don't want you to think that I just want to randomly troll threads about him. I have my reasons, and will gladly share :) |
40 million wiis: i think it's a bit nuts too, but hey, that's what defines John Lucas 
that's what he does!
i respect your posts very much, since you're pretty much the only one who actually runs analysis based on actual numbers. i look at your predictions and use it as a "maximum likelihood estimate". john lucas's predictions are of a different sort; to me, they're not meant to be quantitative but qualitative. so in my mind, it's silly to put compare those 2 kinds of numbers.
ultimately, of course, numbers are meant to be used and held against as predictions, and it's no exception even for john lucas's predictions.
the Wii is an epidemic.
