wii fit japan sales 135,800

[Lingyis]

mrstickball said:
#1. I never predicted Halo 3 selling 15m units. I've gone on record saying it'd sell, at most, 13.5m units LTD. It's been out for 2 months and is at half of that and climbing, and Halo 2 is still charting in the top 50. How is that crazy?

#2. How do we know casuals lined up for Wii Fit? People line up for everything. Infact, the hallmark of "casual" is that they casually buy software. Like I said, which was 100% true, that Wii Fit would be the next Wii Play/Sports. Guess what? It had a 1st week very similar to Wii Sports/Play.....I fail to see how I was wrong about that. Go look at NeoGAF Wii Fit threads. Do you think "casuals" have access to post on NeoGAF? No. But plenty of hardcore Japanese owners lined up, and took pics of Wii Fit because they were buying it themselves.

#3. For those saying my Halo 3 = 13.5m are just as insane as JL's 3.5m 1st week in Japan for Wii Fit are absoutely blinded.

Think about this: lets say Halo 3 does Halo 2 numbers (8.5m). My prediction will of reached maybe 60%-65% of it's prediction, at worst.

On the other hand, John's WF JP> H3 WW is, at best (assuing similar sellthrough for next week, 250k), going to reach 12.5% of his total idea. There's a big difference between 12.5% and 60%, or did you not know that?


Certain people really need to take off thier JohnLucas blinders. Bashing people that make predictions stating that a given game, or system might do 20-30% above a given trend line is alot different than someone predicting something will do 500% or 1000% above a given trend line. There's a reason I'm #2 in the Prediction League and John Lucas has never, ever charted.

the last few posts are the worst of i've seen from you ever, mrstickball. on surface there is nothing wrong with what you say.

but try stepping back and realize what JL is accomplishing here, because you're caught in the details right now. numbers and analysis based on numbers are your strength but you'll need to learn to look at the big picture. you don't seem to have a clue about WHY johnlucas is making these statements and predictions.