I don't think it will get to 100m. PS3 hardware should peak this year, or from mid 2010 to mid 2011 if it hasn't already. Software is definitely near its peak unless Arc throws a wrench in the pattern, that is for sure. Here is a visual/chart-astic look at software shipments by year in millions worldwide (Jan-Dec to match up with real years).
2010 is a better lineup than 2009, but probably not enough to push PS3 software massively higher than 2009. You can see below that the PS3 audience, as it broadens to less dedicated gamers is also less satisfied with software (as is the case with every system ever released). With the amount of software PS3 is pushing/getting at the moment price drops will not push hardware levels much higher than they are. There should be a slow decline from the 2010/2011 peak, but no console that was an established brand (i.e. NES & PS1 are exceptions) has ever tripled its lifetime total from its fourth Christmas to its final figures. PS2 essentially doubled its total from the fourth Christmas to lifetime. Moreover, PS3 is behind PS1 in Japan and the Americas in sellthrough at comparable time frames, and it isn't like Sony is going to be cutting off another $300 on the PS3 price in the next three years. So 65m-75m is about right for PS3, with ~650m-700m retail game shipments. Both figures are about half the PS2 level.
| PS3 SW | Mar Q | Jun Q | Sept Q | Dec Q | SWY/LTDHW |
| 2006 | 5.2 | 3.06 | |||
| 2007 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 10.4 | 26 | 4.72 |
| 2008 | 16.8 | 22.8 | 21.2 | 40.8 | 4.81 |
| 2009 | 18.9 | 14.8 | 23.9 | 47.6 |
3.14 |
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
