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mrstickball said:

The scary thing is, I really worry about how this plays out. Unlike other regimes that want to keep power, Ahmadinejad knows that his power base is waining, and that he won the election illegally. The only way for him to keep his country under control is to do something way out there....And its not *just* getting nukes, but proving they are a superpower by using them.

I would highly advise any and all Iranians to get out of dodge before nuclear fire comes to town.

As unstable as Ahmadinejad might be, he's not completely stupid. Not only would using nuclear weapons signal to everyone who supports him that he's willing to stoop down to the level of the Great Satan itself (as in, the US) to keep himself in power, he'd be signing his own death warrant, along with thousands and thousands of his own people.

Ahmadinejad would need a pretty damn good pretext to "safely" use nuclear weapons, and I doubt that any western power is going to provide him that - provided that Iran even has usable nukes in the first place.

If anyone's going to pull the trigger in this situation, it's Israel.



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