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--OkeyDokey-- said:
smash is HUGE in japan. i looked back at the 2002 charts and melee had sold 1.2 million copies when there were only 1.6 million gamecubes sold!

600k first week is my guess.

That's innacurate.  It sold 1.2 million over the entire life of the Gamecube, not right away.  Hardware sales increased with the software sales.  It's still impressive (the best selling Gamecube game in Japan).

I'll say 500K.  Smash is bigger than Mario in Japan on home consoles, but home console games just don't make that big a splash anymore in Japan week 1.