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OriGin said:
My opinion?

NO

It'll hit 18.5 - 19 million this year. Nintendo will far surpass their projections of 17.5 million by the end of the financial year and will have reached 20 - 21 by then.  I calculated above 1.8 million produced per month and included december, but I don't think those 1.8 million produced can get into stores within December.

I am confused by this statement, their projection was just for the financial year, so they expect to have sold (retail) 23.34 million Wii by then, if you expect they will surpass their expectations and sell 20-21 million for the financial, then you must think they will have sold 25.84-26.84 million life to date before April.

Either you are confusing the meaning of Nintendos projection (which is to have 23.3 million life to date before April) or you think they will sell a hell of a lot of Wiis in the Jan-March quarter.

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oh. my guess. NO

but they will definately pass 19 million, and probably end up closer to 20 than 19.
I also think they will surpass their projetion of 17.5M for the financial, by about 500k (thus a life to date of nearly 24 million (retail remember) before April (that is approximately 4.5 million sold in that first quarter