| PDF said: *************************************************************** I will probably get flamed for this. The Wii is a novelty. I fell for it just like every one else. I was really close to getting one. Heck, I still want one. While it is new and fun now people do get bored. The cheap price and the positive out look by the public is what is selling the Wii. This will not last for 6 years. It will last for 3 years at the most. When the 360 and Ps3 get near $200 dollars the switch from wii to ps360's will be made by most gamers. soriku: "PS3 will be lucky to make it to 5.5 Million by years end" John lucas: "Wii will sell 60 million by the end of 2008" avinash_Tyagi:" Wii will outsell the entire playstation family put together" All those quotes so stupidity and dislike towards sony. Ps3 already over 5.5M Even if the Wii could sell that many they wouldnt produce that many in 2 years. That is over 200M Wii's sold. For thos who dissagree with me. Ask your self this question. Will you go 6 yrs with only your wii or will you end up buying another console? *************************************************************** |
So you cherry pick 2 particularly absurd predictions on which to base your argument? The only one that's a legitimate call was Soriku's, and that failed only because Sony was so desperate (and you know it was) that it had to reprice and redesign the PS3.... twice.
But none of that has ANYTHING to do with whether the Wii is a "fad" or not. It's a gaming console with an innovative controller. So long as GOOD GAMES keep coming down the pipe, why should it prove any more of a novelty than the d-pag, analogue stick, or rumble?
Will the 360 and PS3 sell better with lower prices? Duh. But Wii will follow suit when it's demand starts to bottom out (as it had for the PS3 and 360). Next Christmas the Wii will likely be under $200, quite possibly as low as $150, as the playing field gets more level and supply causes demand to dwindle (if the Wii is still $250 in 12 months, it would mean maintaining the same level of demand for 2 years, and that ain't happening (though no one expected this demand to continue for the 1st 12 months either).
As for a 2nd console? Sure. When prices come down a bit, and when I fell the need to get one. Right now, I've got a backup of Wii games, and with Smash Bros and Mario Kart coming, I don't know that I'll have a 360 before next spring (to be fair, my wife and I are spending our XMas money on home repairs, or it would have been on my list).
Now here's MY question: When it comes to the NEXT generation, who do you think is going to be rethinking their approach to console design? Nintendo, or MS and Sony?
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