killeryoshis said:
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I do honestly think the wii has past its peak now, last year it sold about 2m less than the year before and I think this will almost certainly continue into this year.
I think almost all 'gamers' who want one have one by now so I cant see a new zelda/mario/metroid giving it much of a hardware bump. same goes for the few 3rd party games coming out such as monster hunter, red steel 2 and no more heroes 2. also most sequels that have come out recently have vastly under performed when compared to the originals, e.g. boom blox & resi chronicles. i just think this might be a sign of things to come in regards to hardware sales. ps3 on the other hand has been improving every year and i think this year it will really start to pick up and go into ps2/wii style numbers.
most of all though I think natal and the ps3 wand will really have an affect on the wii. once upon a time the wii got away with its comparatively crud graphics because of its unique motion control, now even this is going to look primitive compared to the ps3 and 360 offerings. I can definitely see any decent 3rd party wii game (e.g. madworld/boom blox) being easily ported to one or both and selling more than the wii version. this will give 3rd parties no more reason to support nintendo.
I know this is all very drastic thinking and im probably 3 years ahead of it happening but my point is I do think it will happen eventually. think about it, with the nes/snes nintendo were the so called 'hardcore', then 2 bigger fish entered the pond with deeper pockets and more resources. I just think history will repeat itself with the 'casual' market.
1 thing I do think is the 360/ps3 could easily switch places depending on the impact of natal/ps3 wand. I went with the ps3 because of its current momentum and the fact that natal is so different it could go either way. sony played it safe copying nintendos wand/remote design.
