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I think this bet has sorta gone out of hand due to how not everyone interprets the bet in the same way. Whether he meant either "on one platform" or the 360, and whether it is just US or WW seems to be argued about far too much for anyone to really set the goal on this 'bet'.

The only version of the various interpretations of the bet that NSMBW will likely lose is "just in America vs. MW2 on the 360." The 2.1m lead MW2(360) enjoys in the Americas should be enough to keep NSMBW from catching it by Jan NDP.