| Entroper said: @DRJ - Despite my jests toward Sony, I think sales will pick up when their big titles are released later this year and early next year. Motorstorm may look good, but let's face it, it just doesn't sell a $600 piece of hardware. Once they have multiple big titles available, and I'm talking the big guns here, Gran Turismo, Metal Gear Solid, Final Fantasy XIII, we'll see those PS3 shelves start looking a lot less dusty. Only after this wave of sales will Sony drop the price -- they'll want to ride the momentum of these releases and the 2007 holidays as long as possible to minimize manufacturing losses, then drop the price to build more momentum going into 2008. The 360 is going to be difficult to catch in NA. Halo 3 is coming this holiday season -- remember how many 360s flew off the shelves even amidst of the Wii and PS3 launches last holiday season? Nintendo will definitely take the WW lead soon, but I think the battle for NA is going to go well into 2008, and there may never be a clear winner. |
PS3 will get a bump from those games no doubt, 360 will from Halo, and Wii will from Mario and Brawl. I think a lot of that will cancel out.
But it will really come down to price. $600 is just not mass market, no matter what Sony says. I wont buy one. If it was $300 I would already have one, and several PS2 games that I missed out on.
Halo will sell big, but will it really move that many systems? Are that many people really waiting for Halo 3, when there are so many other FPSs available on 360 to justify the purchase (if you like FPSs)? Sure they will get a bump, but just not as much as everyone thinks imo.
I think it is just a matter of time before the Wii catches 360 in NA, but maybe not by Dec 31. Possible, but 360 is still selling well and I dont think Nintendo can up production too much too fast (or won't even if they could).
WW there is no doubt that Wii will catch up this year. With 360 only selling in 2/3 markets and Wii owning Japan it is only a matter of time, probably by October.
