Mummelmann said:
I think it will sell more but I was mostly reacting to a thread we had where several users claimed it would sell 20 million or so or even more (maybe someone remembers the thread, I don't remember the name of it). I think I said something along the lines of; won't go past 15 under any circumstance and probably not more than 12 or so. It was released at a perfect time for a solid launch and some good follow up weeks and it'll probably have good legs like all Nintendo 1st party titles but the claims of 20 million lifetime were ludicrous to me! |
It should hit 15m no problem, and 20m isn't out of reach either. NSMBWii could do 9m by the end of the year (there is a thread on it), and then from there 2 full years on the market it only needs to manage 100k/week for 2 years.
Heck, Mario Kart Wii should pass 20m in 3 weeks time. I made a prediction last year that Wii Fit & Mario Kart could do 25m or more (obviously Wii Fit got chopped down by Wii Fit Plus, but otherwise I would have easily been correct) and NSMBWii could easily have a similar selling pattern to either of those games. Just comparing it to the DS version, it had a way bigger opening, and should be able to sustain similar sales over the long run. Since it had a bigger opening, it can achieve 20m in a shorter time with the same legs as NSMB DS.
