| hsrob said: I also think it depends on next year. If sales steady or even go up a little YOY, then yes. If sales continue to decline then perhaps not because I don't think the Wii is going to have the opportunity to stay on the market as long as the PS2. |
Well Wii won't need to stay on the market as long, as its overtracking the PS2 by quite a lot at this point, even if we see continued declines, it should pass it in 4-6 years (even if it drops to an average of 12 million yearly sales it should pass in less than 7 years meaning it would have been on the market less than 10 years before passing the PS2, and considering this year it will end at around 20 million, 12 millions yearly average sounds very doable)
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
