Pachter : I'm TROUBLED by Lackluster Uncharted 2 SALES!

[darthdevidem01]

steverhcp02 said:

darthdevidem01 said:

 

No its not different

I also say what I feel & I said that

thats not base don pachter, my GOW3 opinion has always been the same

The Uncharted 2 sales in America have definetely been overtracked, each sale lost in this crucial period limits LTD sales

for a game like Uncharted 2 the first 6 weeks (especially when they are int he holiday) are very very important....this is no pokemon

your looking way to deep into it now

Im not talking about your GOW prediction. This threads about pachter claiming UC2 sold 650k in the states through november and you saying this means it wont sell over 3 million copies.

Even if VGC is overtracking, lets think about this like logical people. Pachter touts NPD numbers through november, We are sitting on 2 weeks of data he isnt referring to in the holiday period. So lets say 50k per week. That brings us to 750k. This doesnt count other countries in the americas, so lets add another 75k. That gives us 825k to this point if we are using NPD as the holy grail of numbers and then tacking on two weeks of VG charts and the 10% other americas bump, right?

So lets call it a split then and go halfsies between VGC data and NPD data for America, so roughly 880k. So, youve got 880k assuming VGchartz overtracked, in the states. A title which sells considerably better in Europe also gearing up for the holidays and japan clearing 100k, in accordance with famitsu and MC 50k plus first week......so we are talking about 2.3 million to start 2010.

Which means for UC2 to sell 3 million copies it would have to sell slightly above 13k.......per week........worldwide......for 52 weeks. You saw numbers, didnt look into it and just starting typing. Im not looking too much into it, i just like numbers and trends, which i why i am amember of this site, i like to back up my posts with sound reasoning.

Now if you dont agree with my reasoning on 10% and 2 december weeks then i dont see how you can even bother using VGchartz numbers for your predictions, we have to have a constant and single source for our data or predictions are worthless.

And why will it do over 13K per week?

Sequels are much more front loaded & this one won't have bundles

1. I have said is that I feel the game is overtracked

2. I have said people predicting 3 - 4 Million are way out

3. My predictions were at 2 - 2.5 Million

I know who is closer, there was not really any need to go into so much detail

You think I overreacted, you were wrong