| Edouble24 said: For some reason I don't think that's what NPD and Pachter are referring to, which is what I'm responding to. Considering they cite 2007 and 2008 as the greatest years of the industry in terms of revenue, by their definition 2009 is a great year and nothing to worry about. It just didn't top 2008. I think the argument changed into something else completely but I stand by the industry being healthy and things will end up just fine. Just because some publishers may have bet on the wrong console and made some mistakes doesn't mean the industry is in trouble, it's means they're in trouble (and EA isn't in trouble, some others are). But where some companies have fallen others have grown. That is a natural cycle of things, especially when those fallen companies are making mistakes. |
In terms of revenue, your analysis is correct. And Pachter and NPD do measure revenue rather than profits, because that's all the information that they're privy to. What I, and others in this thread, are getting at is that measuring revenue is demonstrably meaningless. Caring about revenue rather than profits is akin to caring about an ER patient's heart rate while ignoring his massive and ongoing blood loss.
And while you may be right that this is merely a changing of the guard, so to speak, I'm somewhat skeptical; it's clear that the bulk of third-parties are currently on their way out, but who's on their way in? Nintendo's improved, Majesco, Hudson, and a few small third-parties have improved, and (as far as I can tell) that's about it. I think it's revealing that we point to Capcom as a success story, when it's merely managed to stay steady this generation.
