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Even at this point I don't see how PS3 could ever catch Wii in Japan. They have a big lead and are outselling the PS3 7-1 now... If they keep that up through 07 then there is no looking back. As for Wii catching 360 in NA I think it is going to happen, tho maybe not this year with Wii still supply constrained. I think it really comes down to how many people are actually waiting for Halo 3 to get a 360. Since there are tons of FPSs already I think that Halo 3 will not boost sales as much as everyone projects. But while Wii has a chance in NA, PS3 has no change to even get second in NA imo. And no chance of first in Japan. So they better do good in Europe to have a chance of being the ww leader (which is a long shot). With 3rd parties already having games around 1M sold I think any 3rd party that hasn't taken notice will have to start to at some point. Once the 3rd party games come pouring in it will be back to the drawing board for MS and Sony.