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Netyaroze on 08 December 2009
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Even if Natal is succesful it wont double the Xbox360 sales constantly. I just dont see it beeing that succesful. The mainstream consumer dont care about camera addons we already had a dozends from them. And you first have to teach the people through the TV where the diffence is.

If MS really treats it like a new console launch. Does that mean that they will launch an Xbox720 much later ? For a lot people is the Xbox360 already old. When Natal launches its 5 years old. I dont think that there are millions of people which will buy the Xbox360 for Natal if they know that the next generation of consoles is not far away.

For all people which claim that Natal will be a success you should wait for software. I will make my final conclusion if I see the software for this. Things like Pong which are controlled by your motions instead of a controller wont convince anybody. The same goes for things like Airobic and driving a car without a wheel in your hands. As long they dont invent new things which are really desirable I cant see them selling tens of millions fresh consoles. And even if they have the software they first have to teach the people that it is fun and then they have to convince them that a WII is less fun than Natal.

Except Windows and Software for that Microsoft is a mediocre Company Zune is good but it failed bing failed or will fail Xbox360 is meh. As of now the Xbox investment is a fail. And just starts now to be lucrative. I can see Natal as a Windows controlling which runs on a giant screen you could control everything with some movements without touching a thing. I can see it having a lot of uses. A stereo camera is nothing new. sony has one too . And the Nasa and ESA had it decades ago. Its not even a new technology. Everyone can use it Nintendo dont wanted it for a reason. And Sony develops ICU. So it could very well be that Sony shows ICU on E3 2010 and will market is as the thing it is. Just a simple addon. Which would get the same software as Natal that would pretty much destroy Micosoft plans and probably will happen.

MS wants to sell Natal as a huge new step forward and this could be a step forward. but it is not as massive as MS thinks. The hype will die off pretty soon.

And I honestly can see the Wand performing better. And even if it would be a decent success Sony would probably release ICU after a few months.

Natal is really nothing to worry about for Sony. Ofcourse a super natal software could change my mind so I would see natal as a real enrichment for videogaming but Sony on the other hand develops the same thing and it works. The race wont be tight until Natal releases and after that It could be tight so PS3 would not be as far ahead as It used to be. But for how long ? A couple of months ? I probably will see Natal as a success because my expectations are not as redicolous as the expectations from many others.