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I have to agree that you can't be awarding GOTY for the acclaim that a game might still be getting in ten years. I think that Mario NSMBWii is more likely to age better than U2 because it is less reliant on the technology of the day but that still doesn't guarantee more acclaim down the line.

I think that it's just as likely that this game inspires Nintendo to revisit 2D even more and NSMBWii itself get's supersceded by a more polished, more inspired, more original and more fun 2D Mario.

However GOTY is about the here and now and even if we argue that NSMBWii is a WORTHY contender, it hasn't appeared to resonate with critics and reviewers as much U2 and MW2 and therefore is not likely to win very many GOTY awards