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PS3 seems to have some good system sellers, GT5 and FFXIII, I think that M.A.G., Heavy Rain, and God of War III could possibly push some systems. Also Sony does have their PS motion wand coming out near spring. So I guess Sony is putting all their eggs in the basket this Q1/Q2.

as for MS, Natal seems to be it's system seller, maybe Alan Wake. I don't think Halo Reach will be a system seller(IMO) if you are dying to play Halo, and haven't already got a 360 after Halo 3, Wars, and ODST. I don't know what's keeping you. I think MS is good at selling software, not harware, unless it's bundled