I think we get DS2 in November 2010 in Japan, and April 2011 in the west...but it should be nearing 140 million by the Japanese launch of DS2 and from momentum alone. If third parties/Nintendo continue to support DS it should have no trouble making a run at 200m even with hw in decline.
So far its gone like this:
FY 3/2005: 5.27m
FY 3/2006: 11.46m
FY 3/2007: 23.56m
FY 3/2008: 30.31m
FY 3/2009: 31.18m (all time record - remember N64/Genesis came in around 30m in their entire lifetimes)
Lifetime DS Shipments through September 2009: 113.48m
FY 3/2010: 30m projected
FY 3/2011: 25m? (DS demand is going to be strong in the west for at least another year. Japan will be down if DS2 releases)
FY 3/2012: 18m (DS demand way down in west with DS2, price cut offsets it)
FY 3/2013: 10m (this is about what PS3 shipped last year)
FY 3/2014: 5m (as viable as PS2 is right about now)
FY 3/2015: 2m (long tail)
FY 3/2016: 0.6m (dead)
That'd be about 192 million
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
