ioi said:
Evidently my November predictions were a little off - I seriously expected games like Final Fantasy CC, Super Robot Wars and Taiko no Tatsujin to be doing more like 100k, 75k and 60k week ones respectively and driving more Wii hardware than they did. Also on PS3, Bayonetta and Winning Eleven 2010 did better than expected and I didn't realise there was a WE2010 bundle.
That said, things have evened up to about where I was expecting them to be at the end of November (in terms of weekly sales) and I expect my December predictions to be pretty accurate - Wii will definitely see a far greater holiday boost and with NSBM Wii looking to launch at around 1m units week one (more than any other Wii title to date) then it should definitely be moving a lot of hardware - existing Mario owners or not. NSMB DS shifted a lot of DS units despite Mario Kart Wii and Super Mario 64 DS having already launched - 2D Mario is just far far more popular in Japan than any other type of Mario title.
Final Fantasy XIII could well get a little higher in week one that first thought as well - 1.4m would be my current estimate based on preorders. PS3 sales should continue to be strong through December with a 175k week when FF XIII launches being entirely possible but I still think Wii will sell far more and also NSMB Wii will comfortably outsell FF XIII for the year as well.
Will be interesting to see how things play out...
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But ioi Japan's biggest retailer said FF13 > NSMB Wii in Japan in December
or are the smaller retail outlets expected to sell more NSMB Wii than FF13?
