Carl on 22 November 2009
| brythoma said: My thoughts concerning the OP: the current gap is 6.7 million consoles, and there is about 7 weeks left till the end of 2009. My prediction is that the minimum gap will be 5.5 million (which means the ps3 will have to outsell the 360 by 170k weekly average) and a maximum gap of 6.2 million (which means the ps3 will outsell the 360 by 70k weekly average). Here are the factors that i think will play a role: 1) the holiday boost in sales will most likely be heaviest in the US and UK, the 360's best regions 2) holiday shoppers looking for gifts will more likely choose cheaper gift options, i think the 360 arcade unit sales will take off 3)Final Fantasy 13 doesnt launch in Japan until the last 2 weeks of the year (if im not mistaken), so a prolonged spike in ps3 sales will not be accounted for in 2009 4) Microsoft is competitive and will not allow their lead to be squandered so easily, i wouldnt be suprised if we saw alot of holiday incentives like that recently offered by walmart or just better bundles (ex: forza 3 and mw2 in europe) It will really come down to how holiday boost pans out |
1. PS3 has Japan, which while it isnt as big as it once was... Still accounts for quite a lot of sales. Also, the rest of Europe are still big buyers.
2. Can't argue with that, although i think the Wii will take a big chunk out of the Arcade sales these Holidays.
3. The sales boost (on top of the usual Christmas boost) will be very big week 1, and week 2 should see next to no HW boost from FF13 as it is a very frontloaded title in Japan.
4. The same could be said of Sony. They wont want current momentum to be lost, and could also offer some very good bundles in every region.
