^^NSMB is not a game u preorder like an FF game or tales. Plus it only started showing up in the preorders list last week. i think it will do 400-600k FW with huge legs, and even if they do mean shipments, Nintendo never overship their games, if anything they leave things conservatively low.
Plus you seem to think that sales equals preorders, well it doesnt. For an FF or Tales game i'd say first week is 1.2 times higher than preorders, however in case of mario its more like 2 times higher. Preorders of mario will definitely reach about 200-300k by the time it releases.
So i guess that answers it :)







