I'm not saying it won't happen but for the PS3 to end up at 70 million is far from a foregone conclusion and that's the kind of userbase that is required for it to have ANY chance of getting anywhere near 20m. For it to continue to do similar number as it has this year for 3-4 more years in the face of further price drops from the competition, the inevitable announcement of next gen consoles, shifting developer support etc...I'm just not sure I can see it happening.
Two things are fairly likely though, the PS3 won't have a sales tail like the PS2 and won't see ongoing developer support towards the end of its life anything like the PS2 did. I suspect alot of the interim game development (i.e. development between this generation and the next) will go to the Wii just because the large userbase and lower development costs will allow developers to offset the increased risk and cost (at least somewhat) associated with developing on the new consoles. I also feel the Wii will hang around and be successful longer than the other two and has a usebase that is less likely to jump ship at first sight of a new console.
Now IF the PS3 does make it to 70million, which it possibly could depending on how long and how the rest of this gen plays out, GT5 might, possibly, maybe get to 20 million but if would necessitate more than a few best case scenarios to play out.
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