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The simplest way to look at this is to compare to Zelda numbers.

Zelda did 2.0 million in VGC USA+Canada data.  Launch numbers were ~445k.  By the end of that week, Wii had under a 550k USA+Can base.

In Japan, Zelda debuted to 146k at Wii's launch.  Galaxy debuted at ~255k in Japan.

I'd say its pretty reasonable to expect upto 775k (255/146)(445) for Galaxy's Americas debut.

Personally, I think it will be more like 600k.

We'll see soon...

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu