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SONY's wand will help both PS3 and Wii because it will be seen as a viable why to port Wii games to PS3.

Imagine Madworld, No More Heroes or Dead Space: Extraction on PS3 with controls optimized for SONY's PS3 wand (though if the developers are smart they will support DS3 controllers aswell).

Or think about developers adding in PS3 wand support as a test to see if its worth porting games to the Wii!

NATAL on the other hand will require developers going out of their way to support a control scheme only used on 1 platform. Sure some games will take advantage of it, but i doubt 3rd party publishers/developers will optimize games around it as it simply makes porting the game to PS3/Wii harder.