When will Wii surpass 360 (if ever)?

[reverie]

superchunk said: Erik Aston said: I think it is clear there is not the demand for 14 million PS3s @ 500/600 USD. They aren't going to average over 1 million/month WW in 2007. From what we've seen so far, that just seems absurd. Obviously Sony can produce the units, but they'd be wise not to overshoot demand by many millions like they have with PSP. Nintendo could have trouble producing the units, at least in comparison, but I think they've potentially got the demand... Think of it this way. Sony can push out 15m this year, and have enough stock to stop production until 2009!! Think of the savings in production costs for that year. Wow. They will be able to show huge net gains in fiscal 2008 to their investors, then in 2009 start a much smaller production system that will actaully meet demand. Say 5m a year.

You are joking, right? You can convince retailers to stock some 2 or 3 million extra systems with one-off incentives (that's what happened with the 360 last Christmas and the PSP before), but there's no way they're going to stock 10 Mio systems years in advance! Therefore Microsoft's explanation "we are going to stop selling systems for the next 6 months, because we want to get out of the red rather than win 5 Mio customers" is also total crap.