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So far only four games on Wii have sold over 10mil. They are Wii Sports, Wii Fit, Wii Play, And Mario Kart Wii.

Can anyone tell me what the common theme is here? Well ok there is two things.

1. They all focus on motion control
2. They appeal to a different audience then gamers (yes even mario kart, it had it's cute little steering wheel and just looked like so much fun on those ads)

In all seriousness this game won't pass 10mil in your timeframe, and it will be very lucky to do so at all.