|
jarrod said: PS3's gains in 2008 were due to price drops, and 360 almost immediately made back that ground when it got an equivalent drop later in the year. That's actually why I'm skeptical of a long term pattern of PS3 over 360, we're bound to get another "equivalent response" next year from Microsoft (redesign + price drop) which may just keep the cycle going as is. |
I expect gap to be around 4 mln. by the end of this year or by the end of January next year - http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=89327
PS3 on average week outsell x360 in Japan by 30k. So, 40 weeks - 1.2 mln. PS3 in 2010 before Natal hits. Now add GT5 boost, small boosts from Yakuza 4, Lost Planet 2, Star Ocean 4 and you will get 1.5 mln. atleast.
In NA PS3 and x360 sell very close to each one, the only increase i see from GT5 and GoW3, maybe FFXIII and MAG. That is 0.5 mln.(12k per week) in best case. I don`t know when AGENT, Heavy Rain, The Last Guardian and other games are coming, but they will also help.
And in Europe, PS3 outsell x360 by 50k on average. That with help of GT5 and other games, i think will continue, where we will get 2 mln. in 40 weeks.
Total: 4 mln. in 40 weeks. That`s somehow we get 100k weekly PS3 advantage on average next year for first 40 weeks.
Also, x360 redesign, well, don`t forget, that there are x360 HDD, so it is very unlikely for x360 to get a slim model. While 50$ pricecut won`t really help.
