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I think Natal will probably have some pretty decent software simply because Microsoft throws a ton of money at so many devs, that really it's a strategy that eventually yields some good games.

Even the 360 launch which was rushed a year ahead of the PS3 was surprisingly not bad ... there's always been a good flow of software for the 360 really from day 1. They always pretty much will open their wallet if that's what it takes to get certain exclusives or certain games coming their way. 

They probably are banking heavily on Natal taking off next year, I think it's their great hope. Just would be funny to see Nintendo just crush it right in front of their face.